Norway vs Senegal headlines Group I tonight at MetLife Stadium, and the stakes could not be sharper. Win or draw, and Norway all but book a last-32 spot.
Lose, and Senegal‘s World Cup hopes hang by a thread. We found the lineups, odds, and head-to-head all point to a tight night.
Key Takeaways
- Norway beat Iraq 4-1; Senegal lost 3-1 to France in the openers.
- The Opta supercomputer makes Norway favorites at 45% to win.
- Kickoff is 8 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium, live on FOX and Telemundo.
When and Where Is the Match?
Here is the matchday card for this World Cup 2026 Group I clash.
| Detail | Information |
| Competition | FIFA World Cup 2026, Group I |
| Venue | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Monday, June 22, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| Watch | FOX, Telemundo, Peacock |
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What Do the Win Odds Say?
The Norway vs Senegal numbers lean Norwegian, yet the margin stays thin. Our analysis suggests this one runs late into the night. Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks
The Norway vs Senegal probabilities break down like this.
| Outcome | Opta Probability |
| Norway win | 45.0% |
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Senegal win | 29.6% |
Norway carry a 98.2% chance to advance; Senegal sit at 56.7%. Bookmakers echo the model, with Norway the narrow favorites, per FOX Sports.
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Who Starts Tonight? Predicted Lineups
Both squads arrive fully fit, per the latest team news from East Rutherford. Industry insiders are noting Ibrahim Mbaye‘s case for a start.
| Position | Norway | Senegal |
| Goalkeeper | Nyland | Mendy |
| Defense | Wolfe, Heggem, Ajer, Ryerson | Diatta, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Diouf |
| Midfield | Aursnes, Berge, Odegaard | L. Camara, P. Gueye, I. Gueye |
| Attack | Nusa, Haaland, Sorloth | Sarr, Jackson, Mane |
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How Did Each Side Reach Matchday 2?
If you have been following the World Cup 2026 group stage, this gap will not surprise you.
- Norway: crushed Iraq 4-1, with an Erling Haaland brace.
- Senegal: fell 3-1 to France despite a late Mbaye strike.
- Haaland has now scored in 11 straight competitive games for Norway.
- Mbaye, at just 18, is the youngest African scorer in World Cup history.
Norway vs Senegal Is Shaking Up Group I in 2026
Norway vs Senegal headlines Group I tonight at MetLife Stadium, and the stakes could not be sharper. Win or draw, and Norway all but book a last-32 spot.https://t.co/9OG8Mw7Max
— Atholton News (@atholtonnews55) June 22, 2026What Does the Head-to-Head Show?
These nations have met only once in the record books. That makes tonight feel almost like a first date.
| Date | Result |
| March 1, 2006 (friendly) | Senegal 2-1 Norway |
One friendly twenty years ago tells us little about MetLife Stadium tonight.
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Which Players Could Decide It?
Four names carry the heaviest threat on the night.
| Team | Player | Why They Matter |
| Norway | Erling Haaland | 11 straight scoring games |
| Norway | Martin Odegaard | Chief creator from midfield |
| Senegal | Sadio Mane | Senegal’s experienced talisman |
| Senegal | Ismaila Sarr | Pace and threat on the wing |
What Does This Mean for Group I?
The Norway vs Senegal path is kind to Norway and brutal for Senegal. A single point likely sends the Vikings into the last 32.
The Norway vs Senegal Lions of Teranga must win to keep their World Cup alive.
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